I think paying excessively for a model you really want is a good way to screw up the model. I would shudder every time I took a look at a model that was clearly and excessively overpriced.
Excellent analysis of the eBay auction world and how is affecting the price of models.
I think what collectors and retailers need to understand is that even with legit and healthy eBay auctions, in which the model starting price is close to the original MSRP and the bidders are being honest and deliberate, the elevated price that some of these models end up going for doesn't mean that
everyone is willing to pay that much for
every model that is sold out.
There are usually a small number of people engaged in these auctions, and only one is willing to pay the final price, and that one person that was willing to drop some serious cash for that model is likely out of the market after that auction is over. But collectors see this and now they think their collection is a small fortune. Other sellers also see this and may start asking themselves why would they sell the same model for less. And again, the answer would be, because only one person was willing to pay that much for it, and that person already bought it
.
I have come across a few auctions that display signs of shill bidding, and have seen auctions getting canceled because the model seemingly didn't reach the price the seller was expecting. These overinflated prices seemed to be exclusive to the eBay world but recently have spilled to the regular retailer world, primarily seen at new stores, but also at some of the traditional ones (
, among others). Another problem I see is people coming across a "rare" model for a
fair price, and buying it in hopes of flipping it for a profit. I will admit to having felt the temptation so I understand. But in the end, this also raises the offering prices, because the model will have to be sold at a price
higher than fair to turn a profit.
I think it is fair to mention that there are several regular eBay sellers that list models at fair prices and will give you excellent service regardless of what price the model goes for. Additionally, there are some traditional retailers that on occasion list rare models for regular prices (JetCollector, Threshold).
Finally, I think supply and demand tend to work. An example of this would be Waffle recently deciding to dump a large part of his collection sale for prices that I had not seen in years. But I mean, after a while most old models, well, get too old to begging with, and most of them find their way to their final owners, new collectors with different interests arrive, etc... and of course, with current manufacturers pumping out new models at the rate they are, it is just a matter of time.