British Airways fan
Active member
Same with G-CIVM
Same with G-CIVM
I agree that confirmation bias will have an impact and markets NG penetrate more will get more models. This is likely only to get worse as the way the scheme seems like it'll work the people voting on winners will get more votes in the future. Demand in Europe in particular is disappointing but I'm sure Africa and Latin America will be under-represented - and no doubt the language barrier is an issue too.
However, I'm less certain about the demand for latin classics. Yes, the Aeroclassics always sell out, but an AC run is about 80-120 units. Without understanding the MOQ of NG (which is I suspect closer to the Phoenix number of 500) it is harder to say that a Varig 767 would sell well, especially after the recent AC version (which wasn't their first either). What they need to be able to do is produce smaller runs and not damage profitability - like Buchannan was (although the choices Buchannan was making were highly questionable).
My promotion of the L-1011s and MD-80s has led to some extra votes for them, but ultimately the sort of older, less tech savvy, more curmudgeonly classics collector is not going to be able to or be willing to compete with the sea of young A350 loving members from China and the US.
I am at least pleased that the classics have been holding their own in the list, but as Phantom pointed out the vote totals are tiny even for the most popular models - far far lower than the points that must be available (I sense the wish for free CRP models is stopping a lot of votes). The wishes are a semblance of a guide for future production but if I were NG I wouldn't be taking them as literally as they are.
Finally Korean 747-8
I agree that confirmation bias will have an impact and markets NG penetrate more will get more models. This is likely only to get worse as the way the scheme seems like it'll work the people voting on winners will get more votes in the future. Demand in Europe in particular is disappointing but I'm sure Africa and Latin America will be under-represented - and no doubt the language barrier is an issue too.
However, I'm less certain about the demand for latin classics. Yes, the Aeroclassics always sell out, but an AC run is about 80-120 units. Without understanding the MOQ of NG (which is I suspect closer to the Phoenix number of 500) it is harder to say that a Varig 767 would sell well, especially after the recent AC version (which wasn't their first either). What they need to be able to do is produce smaller runs and not damage profitability - like Buchannan was (although the choices Buchannan was making were highly questionable).
My promotion of the L-1011s and MD-80s has led to some extra votes for them, but ultimately the sort of older, less tech savvy, more curmudgeonly classics collector is not going to be able to or be willing to compete with the sea of young A350 loving members from China and the US.
I am at least pleased that the classics have been holding their own in the list, but as Phantom pointed out the vote totals are tiny even for the most popular models - far far lower than the points that must be available (I sense the wish for free CRP models is stopping a lot of votes). The wishes are a semblance of a guide for future production but if I were NG I wouldn't be taking them as literally as they are.
I don't think they ended up being a lower MOQ than standard releases.The CRP Exclusive Releases that way is a great way to make models with lower MOQ - like they recently did for those Sichuans.
The concept of booking is exactly what NG are moving towards here as they know who has voted and will know whether you buy the model you voted for. This is one of the reasons why voting for models you aren't going to buy is counterproductive.Maybe the system can be modified such that say, there's a window for 'booking' or 'pre-ordering' - similar to the CRP exchange program, but here backed by a confirmed pre-order at your retailer, the details of which, once sent to NG, (like they do for the free models), defines the total order run. Maybe those CRP exclusives can be 10-15% pricier - like those Sichuans were, which I'm hoping shouldn't be a problem for collectors looking for a specific model on a specific mould.
I strongly disagree with the latter bit - voting for models you won't buy will not be counterproductive - the models will get made - and people will buy them - just that with your vote you have supported the model. Supporting a model does not compel you to buy it - and which is why NG is providing a bonus if you voted and bought it - as they're sure about the fact that people will support models even if they don't intend to buy it.The concept of booking is exactly what NG are moving towards here as they know who has voted and will know whether you buy the model you voted for. This is one of the reasons why voting for models you aren't going to buy is counterproductive.
I disagree. NG want people to buy the models they vote for. If they don't the vote is a waste for NG. As I see it it is the case that literally every vote for a model is a vote against another. It isn't the case that all these models will get made, and NG clearly expect people who are voting to be also buying. If that doesn't happen it completely invalidates the concept that they are aiming for i.e. knowing how good sales will be. If everyone votes for everything then a) everything gets the same number of votes and b) the votes don't align at all to sales.I strongly disagree with the latter bit - voting for models you won't buy will not be counterproductive - the models will get made - and people will buy them - just that with your vote you have supported the model. Supporting a model does not compel you to buy it - and which is why NG is providing a bonus if you voted and bought it - as they're sure about the fact that people will support models even if they don't intend to buy it.
You should encourage people to vote for models they believe must be made even if they're not intending to buy it. That supports the cause. Voting =Buying is not what NG is intending at all
This partly true I agree, but it is also partly because older collecors aren't online or tech savvy as much. Plus a lot of them are just grumpy buggers tooI think that the reason that retro models don't get as many votes is because retro collectors would usually be into retro models exclusively, so when NG hasn't made any retro models I'm almost a year no retro collector would have any points because he didn't buy NG models in a long time.
This is just my speculation.
This I totally agree with you, and this is my MO as well - so on this we are allies .Anyway I have voted for a lot of models, but I have tried to restrict my voting to models I know I will buy and models that I know will be on good moulds. That doesn't mean I haven't voted for a few others but by and large I am putting my money where my mouth is.
Lol I forgot about that part, come to think of it I haven't really bought much models this year from any brand aboutThis partly true I agree, but it is also partly because older collecors aren't online or tech savvy as much. Plus a lot of them are just grumpy buggers too
I’m a retro collector nowadays (it’s shifted in the last year especially thanks to the surge in retros from other manufacturers) but I wouldn’t consider myself an exclusive retro collector; I buy a good deal of modern US planes when they come out, plus try to dabble into other markets whenever applicableI think that the reason that retro models don't get as many votes is because retro collectors would usually be into retro models exclusively, so when NG hasn't made any retro models I'm almost a year no retro collector would have any points because he didn't buy NG models in a long time.
This is just my speculation.
NG themselves haven’t done a United 772 Evo Blue yet. The three 772s they’ve done are all Star Alliance colorsWhile overall this has been disappointing (another UA 777 for god's sakes?), at the very least, we're finally getting the Eastern, House, and PSA Tristars. Hopefully, next, we can get that Northwest and Continental 757-300 up to being made!
I’ve only had one AC model lose tires and that was a Frontier A320neo several years ago; since then I haven’t had issues with their tires. Personally I’m alright with most of their releases in terms of quality, though I will say I was very displeased with their recent Northwest Bowling Shoe models. That livery needs some more love nowadays, and since Deltaflot has gotten lots of attention from Gemini Jets lately I think a Bowling Shoe resurgence is inevitable.I haven't historically been a retro collector even though I want to because I just don't feel like the average Aeroclassics model is worth more than $15. Probably an unpopular opinion. But of the ~5 I own, all of their landing gear fall off just from me placing them on surfaces, almost all of them have printing errors, and the undercarriages are so under detailed (not to mention no aerials or anything) that it really just feels bad to justify paying an actual MSRP price for an Air Canada 727 with an erroneous registration and such abysmal QC that it makes Gemini look like god's gift to humankind
Also with the BA A350! One has the fire emoji whilst the other has 10+ votes...Same with G-CIVM
I've mentioned the duplicates again to NG and they have said 'We are working on the duplicate wishes.' so presumably they will try and deal with them.Also with the BA A350! One has the fire emoji whilst the other has 10+ votes...
Sidenote: There are another 20 ish models with the fire status. This means that, surely, with the models that have been duplicated added, we might be getting another 25-30 models for preproduction. Hard to see why they would pass on models that clearly have high demand!
I assume models they can easily make straight away (like the EA L-1011s) will come first and others that need mods to the moulds (PSA L-1011, NASA SP), use moulds that aren't released yet (747s) or have difficult liveries (Wunala etc) will come spread across multiple months in the future - possibly 4-6 monthsI want to know how NG is planning out which ones to do first. Will it be in the same order as they’ve approved, so the Qantas Yam Dreaming is first to be released from this list?